“The New Europe Center has outlined a vision for security guarantees, which is divided into two distinct phases.

The first phase addresses the active stage of the war and includes: an invitation to NATO, the so-called “Danish model” for investment in Ukraine’s defense industry, bilateral security agreements, and the deployment of a contingent of advisors and instructors in Ukraine.

The second phase focuses on post-conflict negotiations and peace times, and encompasses: a combat-ready mission stationed in Ukraine along the administrative line, legally binding bilateral security guarantees with NATO countries, an air defense shield (such as air patrols), the “Danish model” for investments, and the implementation of bilateral security agreements”.

Leo Litra, Senior Research Fellow at the New Europe Center and Visiting Fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR), spoke at the webinar titled “Don’t Wait for Washington: What the EU Can Do for Ukraine and Its Own Security”, organised by ECFR.

During the webinar, Litra emphasized the need for the Trump administration to adopt a “peace through strength” approach. He stressed that it is crucial for both Kyiv and the U.S. administration to align on the interpretation of this formula, as well as the sequencing of its implementation. According to Litra,  the aggressor can be deterred only through strength.

Experts at the event also discussed the evolving geopolitical context surrounding Ukraine, including the stance of the new U.S. administration, Moscow’s considerations regarding a possible negotiated settlement, and the role that Europeans could play in upcoming negotiations.

Recent analytical infographic “Security guarantees and complementary elements: algorithm of application” that is mentioned above: https://cutt.ly/3e7RTcrd

The discussion was moderated by Marie Dumoulin, Director of the Wider Europe Programme at the ECFR.

The full video recording: