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From Status Quo to Freeze: Three Main War Scenarios — What Is Putin Preparing For
1 May 2026, 16:31
author: Наталія Бутирська

“When people talk about a Korean scenario, the only similarity is a freezing of the war. But Russia does not agree to this, demanding that Ukraine hand over territories it has been unable to conquer.”

Nataliya Butyrska, Associate Senior Fellow at the New Europe Center, explains the fundamental difference between the Korean War and Russia’s aggression against Ukraine, emphasising that a mechanical transposition of the “Korean scenario” onto Ukrainian realities is impossible.

The commentary covers the historical context of the Korean War, the role of the UN in conflict resolution, and why Ukraine — unlike Korea — cannot count on a similar peacekeeping format.

Read more on TSN.ua via the link (in Ukrainian).

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